Tag: Cone of Uncertainty

Empirical or Definitive

Empirical or Definitive

Ever heard of the cone of uncertainty?  The cone shows the historical error at certain time periods in a tropical cyclone forecast.  What happens today and what has happened in the past is pretty much all we know.  We can certainly use all kinds of scientifically proven processes or models to try to predict the future.…

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Judgement Day

Judgement Day

Last night (April 19, 2011) at precisely 8.11pm, Skynet, the giant computer network that controls most of the U.S. weapons, became self aware. Tomorrow it begins its assault on humanity. Tomorrow is to be Judgement Day. Hmmmm.  I’m a big Terminator fan but I’ve heard this story before.  If memory serves me right, I shouldn’t be preparing for…

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